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Stadium Background

Ol. Grudziadz vs R. Rzeszow

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Moneta L.
6' Event
Letniowski J.
46'
Sub
Zimnicki B. In: Szkiela M.
Out: Zimnicki B.

AI Match Summary

Ol. Grudziadz host R. Rzeszow in the Division 2 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. R. Rzeszow have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Ol. Grudziadz have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Ol. Grudziadz slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Ol. Grudziadz. Ol. Grudziadz in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ol. Grudziadz
33%
Draws
27%
R. Rzeszow
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ol. Grudziadz has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to R. Rzeszow.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ol. Grudziadz.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 68%
R. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ol. Grudziadz R. Rzeszow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs R. Rzeszow
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Division 2
R. Rzeszow vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs R. Rzeszow
0:3
Oct 29, 2024 Polish Cup
Ol. Grudziadz vs R. Rzeszow
3:2
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2
R. Rzeszow vs Ol. Grudziadz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Moneta L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarzec K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

R. Rzeszow Compare

Top Goalscorer Letniowski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ol. Grudziadz 50 / 100
R. Rzeszow 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ol. Grudziadz R. Rzeszow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ol. Grudziadz scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

R. Rzeszow let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ol. Grudziadz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

R. Rzeszow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ol. Grudziadz VS R. Rzeszow
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846