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OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OL Lyonnes W host Marseille W in the Premiere Ligue Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. OL Lyonnes W have averaged 3.72 scored and 0.67 conceded recently, against Marseille W's 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Head-to-head, OL Lyonnes W have won 4 to Marseille W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:6. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 1.56, favoring OL Lyonnes W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
OL Lyonnes W
30%
Draws
32%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • OL Lyonnes W have won more games recently than Marseille W.
  • Model gives OL Lyonnes W a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OL Lyonnes W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 15%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OL Lyonnes W Marseille W
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 28 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 3.72 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs OL Lyonnes W
2:6
Feb 4, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W
4:0
Jan 24, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Marseille W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:5
Sep 7, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OL Lyonnes W 84 / 100
Marseille W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OL Lyonnes W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: OL Lyonnes W scored in 92% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Recent resilience: OL Lyonnes W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Marseille W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

OL Lyonnes W VS Marseille W
4.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OL Lyonnes W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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Marseille W

(Away)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)