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OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Bacha S.
41' Event
Katoto M-A.
45' Event
Dumornay D. M.
Assist: Brand J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between OL Lyonnes W and Paris FC W finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OL Lyonnes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
OL Lyonnes W
20%
Draws
28%
Paris FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OL Lyonnes W come out ahead of Paris FC W on wins alone.
  • OL Lyonnes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 20%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OL Lyonnes W Paris FC W
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 28 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 3.72 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
7:1
May 29, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
5:0
Jan 18, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegerberg A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Katoto M-A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Paris FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OL Lyonnes W 85 / 100
Paris FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OL Lyonnes W Paris FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OL Lyonnes W's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: OL Lyonnes W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Paris FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

OL Lyonnes W VS Paris FC W
4.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OL Lyonnes W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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Paris FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2
Paris FC W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)