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OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chawinga T.
Assist: Yohannes L.
17' Event
Chawinga T.
Assist: Heaps L.
22' Event
Dumornay D. M.
Assist: Bacha S.

AI Match Summary

OL Lyonnes W in this Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
OL Lyonnes W
20%
Draws
28%
Paris FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OL Lyonnes W lately — more wins on the board than Paris FC W.
  • Model gives OL Lyonnes W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • OL Lyonnes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor OL Lyonnes W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 68%
Paris FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OL Lyonnes W Paris FC W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 17
Draws 5 2
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 3.61 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
7:1
May 29, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
5:0
Jan 18, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Paris FC W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Paris FC W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dumornay D. M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Chawinga T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Paris FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OL Lyonnes W 95 / 100
Paris FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OL Lyonnes W Paris FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: OL Lyonnes W scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: OL Lyonnes W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Paris FC W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

OL Lyonnes W VS Paris FC W
4.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OL Lyonnes W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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Paris FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Barcelona W
5 : 2
Paris FC W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
OL Lyonnes W 8
Nantes W 0
Paris FC W 1
PSG W 0
Final
OL Lyonnes W 5
Paris FC W 0