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Ol. Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ol. Nicosia host AEK Larnaca in the Cyprus League. This one's hard to separate. Ol. Nicosia have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against AEK Larnaca's 1.69 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Ol. Nicosia have won 0 to AEK Larnaca's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.56) back AEK Larnaca to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ol. Nicosia
35%
Draws
50%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca have won more games recently than Ol. Nicosia.
  • Model gives AEK Larnaca a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 15%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ol. Nicosia AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Ol. Nicosia
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca
1:4
Jan 20, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca
0:2
Oct 17, 2022 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Ol. Nicosia
4:2
Feb 9, 2022 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ol. Nicosia 27 / 100
AEK Larnaca 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ol. Nicosia AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ol. Nicosia scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: AEK Larnaca conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ol. Nicosia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ol. Nicosia VS AEK Larnaca
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ol. Nicosia

(Home)
24 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 1
Krasava
19 Oct
Omonia
2 : 2
Ol. Nicosia
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
26 Oct
AEK Larnaca
2 : 0
Omonia
21 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 2
Akritas Chloraka
18 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
AEK Larnaca
12 Oct
AEK Larnaca
1 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 7 5 1 1 13:5 16
2 Apollon Limassol 7 4 3 0 19:8 15
3 AEL Limassol 7 5 0 2 11:11 15
4 Omonia 7 3 3 1 13:6 12
5 Pafos 7 3 3 1 7:3 12
6 Aris Limassol 7 3 3 1 10:9 12
7 APOEL 7 3 2 2 16:9 11
8 Omonia 29th May 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
9 Anorthosis 7 2 0 5 6:13 6
10 Ol. Nicosia 7 0 6 1 11:12 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 7 1 3 3 4:8 6
12 Nea Salamis 7 1 2 4 11:15 5
13 Krasava 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
14 Karmiotissa 7 0 3 4 4:16 3
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)