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Olafsvik vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.
89'
Catano H.

AI Match Summary

Olafsvik in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olafsvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Olafsvik
15%
Draws
51%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • KFG Gardabaer haven't matched Olafsvik's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans KFG Gardabaer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olafsvik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 10%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olafsvik KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.76 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Olafsvik
4:1
Jun 27, 2026 Division 2
Olafsvik vs KFG Gardabaer
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Olafsvik
0:2
May 10, 2025 Division 2
Olafsvik vs KFG Gardabaer
4:1
Sep 1, 2024 Division 2
Olafsvik vs KFG Gardabaer
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaras El Hmaidi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olafsvik 10 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olafsvik KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olafsvik scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: KFG Gardabaer conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Olafsvik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olafsvik VS KFG Gardabaer
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olafsvik

(Home)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4
Haukar
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1
Olafsvik
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 7

KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)