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Olafsvik vs Selfoss

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Thorsteinsson I.
60' Event
Magnusson G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Olafsvik and Selfoss finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olafsvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Olafsvik
20%
Draws
42%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Olafsvik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Olafsvik taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 14%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olafsvik Selfoss
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.76 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
2:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Olafsvik
3:1
Aug 1, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Olafsvik
2:1
May 27, 2024 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
2:2
Aug 28, 2021 Division 1
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Selfoss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olafsvik 35 / 100
Selfoss 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olafsvik Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olafsvik found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Selfoss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Olafsvik remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Olafsvik VS Selfoss
1 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olafsvik

(Home)
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2
Fjolnir
25 Jul
Dalvik/Reynir
0 : 1
Olafsvik
17 Jul
Hviti
0 : 2
Olafsvik
12 Jul
Kormakur/Hvot
0 : 0
Olafsvik
Page 1 of 6

Selfoss

(Away)
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
25 Jul
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 5
Selfoss
18 Jul
KFA
0 : 1
Selfoss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 17 12 2 3 43:22 38
2 Selfoss 17 9 5 3 40:31 32
3 Kari 17 7 8 2 45:27 29
4 Fjolnir 17 7 4 6 42:38 25
5 Olafsvik 17 7 4 6 24:29 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 17 6 6 5 34:24 24
7 Dalvik/Reynir 17 6 3 8 25:28 21
8 Magni 17 6 3 8 30:42 21
9 KFA 17 6 2 9 38:35 20
10 Throttur Vogar 17 6 1 10 28:33 19
11 Hviti 17 3 7 7 21:32 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 17 4 1 12 24:53 13
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)