Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Heidarsson E.
23'
23'
Thorsteinsson I.
53'
53'
Romero L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Olafsvik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olafsvik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Olafsvik carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Olafsvik a 43% chance of winning this.
- Olafsvik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olafsvik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 16%
Smari Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olafsvik | Smari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 10 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Olafsvik vs Smari
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olafsvik Compare
Top Goalscorer Heidarsson E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thorsteinsson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Smari Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olafsvik 39 / 100
Smari 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olafsvik Smari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olafsvik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Olafsvik scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Smari conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Smari registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Olafsvik VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Olafsvik
(Home) 12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0 KFA
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1 Olafsvik
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4 Haukar
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1 Olafsvik
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1 Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0 KFA
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4 Haukar
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1 Throttur Vogar
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0 Selfoss
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2 Fjolnir
Page 1 of 4
Smari
(Away) 28 Mar
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Smari
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
09 Apr
Olafsvik
5 : 1 Smari
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
05 Apr
Smari
2 : 3 Arbaer
Page 1 of 2
28 Mar
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Smari
09 Apr
Olafsvik
5 : 1 Smari
31 Mar
Berserkir / Midas
1 : 2 Smari
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1
