Sport Picks

Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas

Olancho

2 - 2

Genesis FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Leiva G.

29'

Maldonado E.

Own Goal

35'

Fonseca H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Olancho and Genesis FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Olancho

22%

Draws

60%

Genesis FC

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Genesis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Genesis FC haven't matched Olancho's recent run of results.
Genesis FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Olancho Clean Sheet 20%

Genesis FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olancho	Genesis FC
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	11	9
Draws	13	9
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga Nacional

Genesis FC vs Olancho

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

May 7, 2026 Liga Nacional

Olancho vs Genesis FC

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional

Olancho vs Genesis FC

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Mar 11, 2026 Liga Nacional

Genesis FC vs Olancho

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Oct 26, 2025 Liga Nacional

Olancho vs Genesis FC

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olancho Compare

Top Goalscorer Lasso J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Genesis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mosquera J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olancho 20 / 100

Genesis FC 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olancho Genesis FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genesis FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Olancho's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Olancho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olancho VS Genesis FC

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Espana	20	11	7	2	37:25	40
2	Motagua	20	11	6	3	36:17	39
3	Olimpia	20	11	5	4	35:17	38
4	Olancho	20	8	8	4	28:16	32
5	Marathon	20	7	6	7	23:19	27
6	Genesis FC	20	6	5	9	20:28	23
7	CD Choloma	20	6	5	9	23:32	23
8	Platense	20	5	6	9	26:29	21
9	Lobos UPNFM	20	5	6	9	23:30	21
10	Juticalpa	20	4	6	10	18:41	18
11	Victoria	20	4	4	12	25:40	16