Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olaria U20 vs Bangu U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Garcia Franca Maia R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Olaria U20
20%
Draws
64%
Bangu U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bangu U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bangu U20 lately — more wins on the board than Olaria U20.
  • Model gives Bangu U20 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Bangu U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangu U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Olaria U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Bangu U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olaria U20 Bangu U20
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 0.43 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Olaria U20 vs Bangu U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olaria U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Bangu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Franca Maia R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olaria U20 27 / 100
Bangu U20 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olaria U20 Bangu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangu U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangu U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Bangu U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Olaria U20 scored in 29% of their last 7 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Olaria U20 VS Bangu U20
0.17 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olaria U20

(Home)
04 Apr
Boavista U20
1 : 0
Olaria U20
28 Mar
Olaria U20
0 : 1
Bangu U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Olaria U20
0 : 3
Fluminense U20
18 Mar
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 1
Olaria U20
Page 1 of 2

Bangu U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
04 Sept
Bangu U20
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
15 Aug
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 0
Bangu U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)