Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Leo Itaperuna
(Penalty)
55'
55'
Fabio Magrao
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Olaria haven't matched Bangu's recent run of results.
- Olaria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Bangu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bangu, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%
Bangu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olaria | Bangu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.32 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Bangu vs Olaria
1:1
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
Olaria vs Bangu
2:0
May 17, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Bangu
0:2
Jan 27, 2013 Carioca
Olaria vs Bangu
0:2
Feb 29, 2012 Carioca
Bangu vs Olaria
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabio Magrao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66
Bangu Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olaria 68 / 100
Bangu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olaria Bangu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Olaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Olaria found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).
Scoring Trends
Olaria VS Bangu
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Olaria
(Home) 12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0 Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1 Bonsucesso
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05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0 Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1 Bonsucesso
23 Jun
Olaria
4 : 0 Duque de Caxias
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0 Cabofriense
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Bangu
(Away) 22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0 Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1 Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1 Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0 Volta Redonda
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15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0 Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1 Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1 Bangu
16 Feb
Fluminense
3 : 1 Bangu
30 Jan
Nova Iguacu
1 : 2 Bangu
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
