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Olaria vs Sao Goncalo Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025 Estádio da Rua Bariri, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Marcelinho
90'
Marcao

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Olaria
35%
Draws
40%
Sao Goncalo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Goncalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Goncalo haven't matched Olaria's recent run of results.
  • Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Olaria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olaria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Olaria Clean Sheet 21%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olaria Sao Goncalo
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Olaria
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Olaria
3:0
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Sao Goncalo
0:0
May 26, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Sao Goncalo
2:1
Nov 25, 2020 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Sao Goncalo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olaria 29 / 100
Sao Goncalo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olaria Sao Goncalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Olaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Olaria scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Sao Goncalo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olaria VS Sao Goncalo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olaria

(Home)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
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Sao Goncalo

(Away)
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0
Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Audax RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sao Goncalo 3
Olaria 0
Bangu 1
CEAC/Araruama 0
Final
Sao Goncalo 1
Bangu 3