Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olbia vs Albalonga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G Bruno Nespoli
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ingretolli C.
24' Event
Bensaja N.
34' Event
Angeletti M.

AI Match Summary

Olbia host Albalonga in the Serie D - Group G. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Olbia at 1.38 goals for, 1.25 against; Albalonga at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Albalonga slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Albalonga. Albalonga in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Olbia
39%
Draws
31%
Albalonga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Albalonga has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Olbia.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group G provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Olbia Clean Sheet 68%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olbia Albalonga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 12 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Albalonga
1:4
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Olbia
1:1
Apr 10, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Olbia
1:0
Nov 22, 2015 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Albalonga
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Biancu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Albalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingretolli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bensaja N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olbia 41 / 100
Albalonga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olbia Albalonga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olbia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Albalonga let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Olbia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Albalonga lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olbia VS Albalonga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521