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Old Road vs SAP

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2017/2018 game between Old Road and SAP finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Old Road.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Old Road
20%
Draws
16%
SAP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Old Road

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Old Road come out ahead of SAP on wins alone.
  • Old Road are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Old Road Clean Sheet 20%
SAP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Old Road SAP
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 3.29 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Old Road
1:6
Dec 3, 2022 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs SAP
3:3
Feb 16, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs SAP
7:0
Dec 29, 2018 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Old Road
4:2
Mar 4, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs SAP
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Old Road 85 / 100
SAP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Old Road SAP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Old Road Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Old Road's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

SAP let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SAP registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Old Road VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Old Road

(Home)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

SAP

(Away)
05 May
SAP
1 : 5
Swetes
20 Apr
Garden Stars
1 : 1
SAP
14 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
4 : 1
SAP
08 Apr
All Saints United
1 : 0
SAP
31 Mar
SAP
1 : 2
Willikies
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greenbay Hoppers 18 11 4 3 29:23 37
2 Five Islands 18 10 5 3 35:17 35
3 Parham 18 8 4 6 31:23 28
4 Grenades 18 7 5 6 27:24 26
5 Tryum 18 7 5 6 25:30 26
6 Swetes 18 5 7 6 27:26 22
7 SAP 18 5 6 7 25:33 21
8 Old Road 18 5 5 8 28:29 20
9 Pigotts Bullets 18 5 4 9 17:24 19
10 Empire FC 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)