Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025

Lubeck II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 encounter between Oldenburger SV and Lubeck II promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Oldenburger SV averages 2.1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. Lubeck II shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Oldenburger SV, 1 wins for Lubeck II, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 02.11.24 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.85 for Oldenburger SV and 1.94 for Lubeck II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Lubeck II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Oldenburger SV

27%

Draws

38%

Lubeck II

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Lubeck II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Oldenburger SV picked up more points recently compared to Lubeck II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 96%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%

Oldenburger SV Clean Sheet 10%

Lubeck II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oldenburger SV	Lubeck II
Matches Played	36	31
Wins	9	10
Draws	8	6
Losses	19	15
Goals Scored	2.11	1.65
Goals Conceded	2.78	2.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

02.11.24 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein

Oldenburger SV vs Lubeck II

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

07.08.24 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein

Lubeck II vs Oldenburger SV

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 0 - 4

1:6

14.04.24 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein

Oldenburger SV vs Lubeck II

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

4:4

15.10.23 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein

Lubeck II vs Oldenburger SV

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

3:4

20.05.23 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein

Oldenburger SV vs Lubeck II

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

2:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Oldenburger SV

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Lubeck II

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldenburger SV Compare

Top Goalscorer Junge D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Lubeck II Compare

Top Goalscorer Melo G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Becker T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldenburger SV 34 / 100

Lubeck II 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oldenburger SV Lubeck II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lubeck II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Oldenburger SV 39%

Lubeck II 30%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Oldenburger SV 33%

Lubeck II 40%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Oldenburger SV 35%

Lubeck II 38%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Oldenburger SV 37%

Lubeck II 36%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Oldenburger SV 32%

Lubeck II 42%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Oldenburger SV 40%

Lubeck II 44%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oldenburger SV attacking → ← attacking Lubeck II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldenburger SV have found the net in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Lubeck II have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 6.20 goals per match.

Oldenburger SV remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Lubeck II suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 36

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kilia Kiel	30	22	8	0	109:43	74
2	Heider SV	30	21	5	4	90:41	68
3	PSV Neumunster	30	19	5	6	83:36	62
4	Eichede	30	17	8	5	64:27	59
5	Nordmark Satrup	30	11	8	11	62:52	41
6	Preussen Reinfeld	30	11	8	11	54:56	41
7	Hohenwestedt	30	11	7	12	50:64	40
8	Oldenburger SV	30	10	8	12	66:68	38
9	Eutin 08	30	10	7	13	49:54	37
10	Rotenhof	30	10	5	15	58:68	35
11	VfR Neumunster	30	9	8	13	55:67	35
12	Lubeck II	30	9	6	15	51:68	33
13	Eckernforder SV	30	8	8	14	53:68	32
14	TSB Flensburg	30	8	7	15	51:70	31
15	Eidertal Molfsee	30	7	6	17	44:85	27
16	Dornbreite Lubeck	30	3	4	23	32:104	13