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Oldham vs Cheltenham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Boundary Park, Oldham
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oldham host Cheltenham in the League Two. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Oldham at 1.5 goals for, 1.29 against; Cheltenham at 1.67 for, 1.74 against. Head-to-head, Oldham have won 3 to Cheltenham's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.69) back Oldham to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Oldham
15%
Draws
65%
Cheltenham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cheltenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Oldham have won more games recently than Cheltenham.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Oldham Clean Sheet 13%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Cheltenham
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Cheltenham
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Oldham
0:3
Jan 26, 2021 League Two
Cheltenham vs Oldham
2:0
Nov 3, 2020 League Two
Oldham vs Cheltenham
2:1
Jan 4, 2020 League Two
Cheltenham vs Oldham
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 31 / 100
Cheltenham 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Cheltenham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oldham scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Cheltenham has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Oldham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Cheltenham
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0
Oldham
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2
Chesterfield
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
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Cheltenham

(Away)
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0
Cheltenham
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)