Sport Picks
Oldham vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Boundary Park, Oldham 
Match Events
18'
18'
Bonis L.
Penalty Missed
18'
18'
Bonis L.
28'
28'
Norburn O.
AI Match Summary
Chesterfield in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oldham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chesterfield lately — more wins on the board than Oldham.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Oldham Clean Sheet 12%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oldham | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Chesterfield
1:2
Mar 17, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Oldham
0:3
Jan 1, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Chesterfield
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 National League
Oldham vs Chesterfield
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 National League
Chesterfield vs Oldham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oldham Compare
Top Goalscorer Fawunmi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonis L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Markanday D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oldham 35 / 100
Chesterfield 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oldham Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oldham scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Chesterfield conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Oldham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Oldham VS Chesterfield
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Oldham
(Home) 03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1 Oldham
31 Oct
Oldham
0 : 1 Crawley Town
24 Oct
Barnet
1 : 1 Oldham
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0 Oldham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Oldham
0 : 1 Crawley Town
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1 Cheltenham
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2 Leeds U21
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4 Salford
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Colchester
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
