Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Bonis L.
Penalty Missed
18'
18'
Bonis L.
28'
28'
Norburn O.
AI Match Summary
Chesterfield in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oldham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oldham lately — more wins on the board than Chesterfield.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oldham Clean Sheet 20%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oldham | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Chesterfield
1:2
Mar 17, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Oldham
0:3
Jan 1, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Chesterfield
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 National League
Oldham vs Chesterfield
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 National League
Chesterfield vs Oldham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oldham Compare
Top Goalscorer Fawunmi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonis L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Markanday D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oldham 31 / 100
Chesterfield 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oldham Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oldham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oldham scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Chesterfield conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Oldham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Oldham VS Chesterfield
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Oldham
(Home) 05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Oldham
29 Aug
Oldham
3 : 0 Swindon
22 Aug
Colchester
2 : 1 Oldham
15 Aug
Oldham
2 : 0 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Oldham
3 : 0 Swindon
15 Aug
Oldham
2 : 0 Port Vale
01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0 Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3 Bolton
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 05 Sept
Chesterfield
3 : 3 Barnet
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1 Chesterfield
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1 Chesterfield
08 Aug
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Chesterfield
31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Walsall | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Fleetwood Town | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Crewe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 9 | York City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 10 | Oldham | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Colchester | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Gillingham | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Northampton | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 15 | Salford | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 16 | Exeter | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 17 | Chesterfield | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 19 | Accrington | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 20 | Newport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 3 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
