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Oldham vs Crawley Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Boundary Park, Oldham
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Payne K.
18'
Sub
Fawunmi F. In: Pett T.
Out: Fawunmi F.
25'
Jennings K.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Oldham and Crawley Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crawley Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Oldham
30%
Draws
29%
Crawley Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oldham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Oldham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Oldham Clean Sheet 16%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Crawley Town
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Crawley Town
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Crawley Town
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Oldham
2:2
May 7, 2022 League Two
Oldham vs Crawley Town
3:3
Mar 1, 2022 League Two
Crawley Town vs Oldham
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Orsi-Dadomo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 31 / 100
Crawley Town 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Oldham found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Crawley Town conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Oldham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Crawley Town
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1
Oldham
31 Oct
Oldham
0 : 1
Crawley Town
24 Oct
Barnet
1 : 1
Oldham
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

Crawley Town

(Away)
31 Oct
Oldham
0 : 1
Crawley Town
24 Oct
Crawley Town
1 : 1
Tranmere
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3
Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1
Crawley Town
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2
Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)