Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy Boundary Park, Oldham

Oldham

1 - 0

Fleetwood Town

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Potter F. In: Bennett R.

Out: Potter F.

46'

Chilvers N.

Assist: Nevitt E.

55'

Rooney S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Oldham

20%

Draws

51%

Fleetwood Town

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleetwood Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Fleetwood Town have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — Oldham are scoring more at 1.52.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Oldham, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Oldham Clean Sheet 16%

Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oldham	Fleetwood Town
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	13	13
Draws	3	12
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1.52	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Oldham vs Fleetwood Town

1:0

Sep 1, 2026 League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham

1:1

Feb 14, 2026 League Two

Oldham vs Fleetwood Town

1:1

Aug 23, 2025 League Two

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham

1:1

Nov 13, 2019 EFL Trophy

Fleetwood Town vs Oldham

5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Chilvers N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Fleetwood Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 31 / 100

Fleetwood Town 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oldham Fleetwood Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:6

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Fleetwood Town has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Oldham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Fleetwood Town

1 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

100% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)

22 Sept

Oldham

1 : 0

Fleetwood Town

19 Sept

Rochdale

2 : 0

Oldham

12 Sept

Oldham

1 : 2

Chesterfield

05 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 0

Oldham

01 Sept

Fleetwood Town

1 : 1

Oldham

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Fleetwood Town

(Away)

22 Sept

Oldham

1 : 0

Fleetwood Town

19 Sept

Barnet

3 : 1

Fleetwood Town

16 Sept

Fleetwood Town

1 : 0

Sheffield Utd

12 Sept

Newport

1 : 1

Fleetwood Town

05 Sept

Fleetwood Town

2 : 0

Shrewsbury

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