Sport Picks

Oldham vs Leeds U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Boundary Park, Oldham

Leeds U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Oldham have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Leeds U21's 1.52 scored and 2.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Leeds U21 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2021, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.50 - 1.94) back Oldham to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Oldham

15%

Draws

65%

Leeds U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Oldham come out ahead of Leeds U21 on wins alone.
Model gives Leeds U21 a 65% chance of winning this.
Oldham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oldham	Leeds U21
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.5	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.29	2.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2021 EFL Trophy

Oldham vs Leeds U21

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 14 / 100

Leeds U21 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oldham Leeds U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leeds U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Oldham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Leeds U21

1 Goals Scored 2.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)

26 Sept

Oldham

1 : 4

Salford

22 Sept

Oldham

1 : 0

Fleetwood Town

19 Sept

Rochdale

2 : 0

Oldham

12 Sept

Oldham

1 : 2

Chesterfield

05 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 0

Oldham

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Leeds U21

(Away)

09 Oct

Leeds U21

3 : 1

Stockport U21

06 Oct

Tamworth

1 : 0

Leeds U21

22 Sept

Barnsley

3 : 4

Leeds U21

19 Sept

Leeds U21

2 : 0

Newcastle Utd U21

13 Sept

Middlesbrough U21

4 : 4

Leeds U21

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