This match ends 1-5, with Manchester City U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
Oldham
22%
Draws
60%
Manchester City U21
Draw rate projection: 22%Favored: Manchester City U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
Manchester City U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Manchester City U21 a 60% chance of winning this.
Manchester City U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Manchester City U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)73.8%
Oldham Clean Sheet14%
Manchester City U21 Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Oldham
Manchester City U21
Matches Played
30
29
Wins
13
17
Draws
5
3
Losses
12
9
Goals Scored
1.5
2
Goals Conceded
1.25
1.33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.25
1.33
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2025EFL Trophy
OldhamvsManchester City U21
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oldham Compare
Avg xG / game1.15
Avg xA / game0.75
Manchester City U21 Compare
Top GoalscorerSangare M.
2 Goals
Assists LeaderMuir A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game1.82
Avg xA / game1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oldham19 / 100
Manchester City U2156 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oldham Manchester City U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickMCI Win (2)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score1:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oldham found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Manchester City U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.