Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Boundary Park, Oldham

Oldham

1 - 5

Manchester City U21

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Oboavwoduo J.

36'

Sub

Caprice J. In: Howard O.

Out: Caprice J.

36'

Sub

Charsley H. In: Drummond K.

Out: Charsley H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Manchester City U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Oldham

15%

Draws

51%

Manchester City U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Manchester City U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Manchester City U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
Manchester City U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Manchester City U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Manchester City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oldham	Manchester City U21
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	17
Draws	3	2
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.54	2.86
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 EFL Trophy

Oldham vs Manchester City U21

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Manchester City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sangare M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Muir A.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.68

Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 18 / 100

Manchester City U21 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oldham Manchester City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester City U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Oldham scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Manchester City U21 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Manchester City U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Manchester City U21

1.5 Goals Scored 2.33

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 83%

63% Over 2.5 83%

38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)

19 Sept

Rochdale

2 : 0

Oldham

12 Sept

Oldham

1 : 2

Chesterfield

05 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 0

Oldham

01 Sept

Fleetwood Town

1 : 1

Oldham

29 Aug

Oldham

3 : 0

Swindon

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Manchester City U21

(Away)

19 Sept

Tottenham U21

4 : 2

Manchester City U21

15 Sept

Chesterfield

5 : 3

Manchester City U21

28 Aug

Nottingham U21

2 : 1

Manchester City U21

24 Aug

Manchester City U21

4 : 0

Wolves U21

19 Aug

Mansfield

1 : 4

Manchester City U21

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