Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oldham vs Port Vale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Boundary Park, Oldham
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Norburn O.
39'
Hall G.
40'
Fawunmi F.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Oldham and Port Vale finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oldham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Oldham
20%
Draws
47%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Port Vale have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Oldham are scoring more at 1.52.
  • Model gives Port Vale a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Oldham Clean Sheet 19%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Port Vale
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.52 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Port Vale
2:0
Apr 9, 2022 League Two
Port Vale vs Oldham
3:2
Nov 20, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Port Vale
3:2
Mar 9, 2021 League Two
Port Vale vs Oldham
0:0
Oct 24, 2020 League Two
Oldham vs Port Vale
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavanagh C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Port Vale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 28 / 100
Port Vale 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oldham scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Port Vale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Oldham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Port Vale
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1
Cheltenham
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2
Leeds U21
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0
Accrington
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
Page 1 of 6

Port Vale

(Away)
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1
Port Vale
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Chesterfield
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Grimsby
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 12 8 1 3 19:12 25
2 Barnet 10 6 3 1 23:15 21
3 Crewe 12 5 6 1 15:11 21
4 Walsall 11 4 7 0 16:7 19
5 Cheltenham 12 5 3 4 21:22 18
6 York City 11 4 5 2 19:13 17
7 Gillingham 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
8 Shrewsbury 12 5 2 5 13:17 17
9 Chesterfield 12 4 4 4 18:16 16
10 Exeter 12 4 4 4 8:6 16
11 Accrington 12 3 6 3 17:16 15
12 Newport 12 3 6 3 16:15 15
13 Tranmere 12 3 6 3 15:15 15
14 Rochdale 12 4 3 5 15:17 15
15 Swindon 12 4 3 5 13:16 15
16 Bristol Rovers 12 5 0 7 16:20 15
17 Grimsby 12 3 5 4 15:15 14
18 Fleetwood Town 12 3 5 4 14:15 14
19 Colchester 11 2 6 3 11:14 12
20 Port Vale 10 3 3 4 6:10 12
21 Oldham 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
22 Rotherham 12 2 5 5 14:20 11
23 Northampton 10 2 4 4 6:8 10
24 Crawley Town 10 1 2 7 11:20 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)