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Stadium Background

Oldham vs Salford

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Boundary Park, Oldham
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Woods R.
4' Event
Oluwo A.
Assist: Garbutt L.
45' Event
Udoh D.
Assist: Graydon R.

AI Match Summary

Salford in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oldham
44%
Draws
20%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Salford have won more games recently than Oldham.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Salford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Oldham Clean Sheet 12%
Salford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Salford
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Salford
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Oldham
1:0
Apr 23, 2022 League Two
Oldham vs Salford
1:2
Nov 27, 2021 League Two
Salford vs Oldham
2:0
Aug 31, 2021 EFL Trophy
Oldham vs Salford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawkes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Oluwo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Udoh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 35 / 100
Salford 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Salford has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Oldham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Salford
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2
Oldham
18 Apr
Oldham
1 : 2
Salford
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Salford

(Away)
25 Jul
Salford
3 : 2
Dundee Utd
18 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 4
Salford
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0
Salford
15 May
Salford
2 : 2
Grimsby
10 May
Grimsby
1 : 2
Salford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)