Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oldham vs Salford

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Boundary Park, Oldham
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Woods R.
4' Event
Oluwo A.
Assist: Garbutt L.
45' Event
Udoh D.
Assist: Graydon R.

AI Match Summary

Salford in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Oldham
20%
Draws
51%
Salford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Salford have won more games recently than Oldham.
  • Oldham are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Salford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Oldham Clean Sheet 20%
Salford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Salford
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Salford
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Oldham
1:0
Apr 23, 2022 League Two
Oldham vs Salford
1:2
Nov 27, 2021 League Two
Salford vs Oldham
2:0
Aug 31, 2021 EFL Trophy
Oldham vs Salford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Hawkes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Oluwo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Udoh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 36 / 100
Salford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Salford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Salford has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Oldham remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Salford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2
Chesterfield
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Oldham
29 Aug
Oldham
3 : 0
Swindon
22 Aug
Colchester
2 : 1
Oldham
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Salford

(Away)
12 Sept
Rotherham
3 : 3
Salford
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1
Newport
29 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Salford
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1
Chesterfield
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)