Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Nevitt E.
Assist: Kavanagh C.
46'
46'
Sub
Munda A. In: Thomson J.
Out: Munda A.
46'
46'
Sub
Snowdon J. In: Palmer O.
Out: Snowdon J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Oldham and Swindon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oldham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swindon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Oldham come out ahead of Swindon on wins alone.
- Model gives Swindon a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Swindon have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Oldham Clean Sheet 20%
Swindon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oldham | Swindon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Oldham vs Swindon
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Oldham
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Swindon
1:2
Mar 12, 2022 League Two
Swindon vs Oldham
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Swindon
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oldham Compare
Top Goalscorer Nevitt E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fondop M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Swindon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oldham 24 / 100
Swindon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oldham Swindon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swindon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swindon has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.
Attacking prowess: Oldham scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Oldham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oldham VS Swindon
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Oldham
(Home) 03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1 Oldham
31 Oct
Oldham
0 : 1 Crawley Town
24 Oct
Barnet
1 : 1 Oldham
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0 Oldham
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Oldham
0 : 1 Crawley Town
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1 Cheltenham
13 Oct
Oldham
4 : 2 Leeds U21
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4 Salford
Page 1 of 3
Swindon
(Away) 31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1 Rotherham
24 Oct
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0 Swindon
20 Oct
Barnet
1 : 3 Swindon
17 Oct
Swindon
1 : 1 Walsall
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1 Crewe
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0 Swindon
20 Oct
Barnet
1 : 3 Swindon
03 Oct
Rochdale
1 : 0 Swindon
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Swindon
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
