Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oldham vs Swindon

England England

League Two Boundary Park, Oldham
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oldham host Swindon in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Oldham have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Swindon's 1.52 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Oldham have won 0 to Swindon's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.38) point toward Swindon. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Oldham
15%
Draws
46%
Swindon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swindon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oldham come out ahead of Swindon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Oldham a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Swindon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oldham Clean Sheet 17%
Swindon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Swindon
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Oldham
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Swindon
1:2
Mar 12, 2022 League Two
Swindon vs Oldham
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Swindon
1:3
Mar 14, 2020 League Two
Oldham vs Swindon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 41 / 100
Swindon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Swindon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oldham scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Swindon has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Oldham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Swindon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
15 Aug
Oldham
2 : 0
Port Vale
08 Aug
Stoke City
2 : 0
Oldham
01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0
Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1
Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0
Swindon
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2
Swindon
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4
Swindon
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3
Bristol City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walsall 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Newport 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Barnet 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Oldham 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 York City 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Crewe 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Grimsby 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
11 Colchester 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 Accrington 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
13 Northampton 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Swindon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
16 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Exeter 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Salford 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
21 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
22 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
23 Rochdale 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
24 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)