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Oleiros vs Carapinheirense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oleiros play Carapinheirense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oleiros averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. Carapinheirense averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Oleiros won 2, Carapinheirense won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Oleiros and 1.00 for Carapinheirense. This points to a Oleiros double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Oleiros
39%
Draws
31%
Carapinheirense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Oleiros has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Carapinheirense.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Oleiros Clean Sheet 20%
Carapinheirense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleiros Carapinheirense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs Oleiros
3:0
Dec 13, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oleiros vs Carapinheirense
3:1
Apr 23, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oleiros vs Carapinheirense
2:1
Mar 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Carapinheirense vs Oleiros
1:0
Jan 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs Oleiros
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleiros 31 / 100
Carapinheirense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleiros Carapinheirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleiros scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Carapinheirense let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Oleiros went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Carapinheirense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oleiros VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00