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Oleksandriya vs FC Chernihiv Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Storchous A. In: Kuzmyn R.
Out: Storchous A.
60'
Sub
Bezborodko D. In: Bezgubchenko D.
Out: Bezborodko D.
60'
Sub
Shalfeev Y. In: Serdyuk M.
Out: Shalfeev Y.

AI Match Summary

Oleksandriya in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oleksandriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Oleksandriya
20%
Draws
34%
FC Chernihiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oleksandriya lately — more wins on the board than FC Chernihiv.
  • Oleksandriya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 68%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleksandriya FC Chernihiv
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs FC Chernihiv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oleksandriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Yade P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Chernihiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleksandriya 95 / 100
FC Chernihiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleksandriya FC Chernihiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleksandriya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleksandriya scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

FC Chernihiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Oleksandriya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: FC Chernihiv registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oleksandriya VS FC Chernihiv
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleksandriya

(Home)
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
05 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

FC Chernihiv

(Away)
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
FC Chernihiv
23 Aug
LSTM Lutsk
1 : 2
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 9 5 2 2 11:6 17
2 Kulikiv 9 5 2 2 19:9 17
3 Oleksandriya 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
4 SC Poltava 9 4 3 2 13:5 15
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 9 4 2 3 14:12 14
6 Inhulets 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
7 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 9 4 2 3 12:9 14
8 Fenix Mariupol 9 4 2 3 12:11 14
9 Metalist Kharkiv 9 4 1 4 11:11 13
10 Kolos Kovalivka 2 9 4 0 5 11:15 12
11 Lokomotyv Kyiv 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
12 UCSA 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
13 Nyva Ternopil 9 2 4 3 9:9 10
14 FC Chernihiv 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 9 1 3 5 11:17 6
16 Probiy Horodenka 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)