Sport Picks
Oleksandriya vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 
Match Events
34'
34'
Buletsa S.
46'
46'
Sub
Grytsak N. In: Kyslenko S.
Out: Grytsak N.
57'
57'
Sub
Khakhlyov O. In: Kukharuk A.
Out: Khakhlyov O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oleksandriya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oleksandriya lately — more wins on the board than Fenix Mariupol.
- Win probability leans Oleksandriya's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oleksandriya | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Fenix Mariupol
1:1
Jul 3, 2023 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya vs Fenix Mariupol
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oleksandriya Compare
Top Goalscorer Buletsa S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Fenix Mariupol Compare
Top Goalscorer Sydorenko V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oleksandriya 50 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oleksandriya Fenix Mariupol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oleksandriya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oleksandriya's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Fenix Mariupol let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Oleksandriya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oleksandriya VS Fenix Mariupol
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Oleksandriya
(Home) 04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2 Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 Victoria
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 Victoria
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
08 Aug
Oleksandriya
3 : 0 Inhulets
24 Jul
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 3
Fenix Mariupol
(Away) 05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
20 Aug
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 6 Fenix Mariupol
31 Jul
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 15 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
