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Oleksandriya vs Inhulets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Malysh S.
Own Goal
36'
Komar O.
46'
Sub
Bezkleynyi D. In: Rozhko V.
Out: Bezkleynyi D.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Oleksandriya and Inhulets finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oleksandriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oleksandriya
20%
Draws
44%
Inhulets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inhulets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Oleksandriya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Oleksandriya are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Oleksandriya here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 20%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleksandriya Inhulets
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.45 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Inhulets
3:0
Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya vs Inhulets
2:1
Apr 25, 2025 Premier League
Inhulets vs Oleksandriya
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Inhulets
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Oleksandriya vs Inhulets
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oleksandriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Yade P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dykhtyaruk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Inhulets Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleksandriya 40 / 100
Inhulets 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleksandriya Inhulets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleksandriya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inhulets has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Oleksandriya found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Oleksandriya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oleksandriya VS Inhulets
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleksandriya

(Home)
18 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 1
Oleksandriya
11 Oct
Oleksandriya
1 : 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

Inhulets

(Away)
17 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
4 : 1
Inhulets
10 Oct
Inhulets
0 : 1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
3 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
4 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
5 Fenix Mariupol 12 6 3 3 18:13 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)