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Oleksandriya vs Lokomotyv Kyiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oleksandriya host Lokomotyv Kyiv in the Persha Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Oleksandriya at 1.43 goals for, 1.36 against; Lokomotyv Kyiv at 1.66 for, 0.93 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.56) point toward Lokomotyv Kyiv. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Oleksandriya
20%
Draws
40%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotyv Kyiv come out ahead of Oleksandriya on wins alone.
  • Oleksandriya are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleksandriya Lokomotyv Kyiv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleksandriya 42 / 100
Lokomotyv Kyiv 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleksandriya Lokomotyv Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleksandriya's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Oleksandriya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lokomotyv Kyiv conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Lokomotyv Kyiv lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oleksandriya VS Lokomotyv Kyiv
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleksandriya

(Home)
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Away)
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3
Zhytomyr 2
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0
Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)