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Oleksandriya vs Probiy Horodenka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oleksandriya host Probiy Horodenka in the Persha Liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Probiy Horodenka have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Oleksandriya have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Oleksandriya slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 0.69) point toward Oleksandriya. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Oleksandriya
30%
Draws
41%
Probiy Horodenka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Probiy Horodenka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oleksandriya come out ahead of Probiy Horodenka on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 20%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oleksandriya Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Probiy Horodenka vs Oleksandriya
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oleksandriya 31 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oleksandriya Probiy Horodenka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oleksandriya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oleksandriya's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Probiy Horodenka let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Oleksandriya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oleksandriya VS Probiy Horodenka
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oleksandriya

(Home)
18 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 1
Oleksandriya
11 Oct
Oleksandriya
1 : 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

Probiy Horodenka

(Away)
18 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
3 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
4 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
5 Fenix Mariupol 12 6 3 3 18:13 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)