Sport Picks
Olginatese vs Castellana Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
Olginatese in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olginatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olginatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olginatese average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Castellana's 0.97.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Olginatese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Olginatese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 20%
Castellana Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olginatese | Castellana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Castellana
5:0
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Olginatese
0:1
Apr 6, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Olginatese
1:2
Nov 24, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Castellana
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olginatese 58 / 100
Castellana 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olginatese Castellana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Olginatese found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Defensive concern: Castellana conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Olginatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Olginatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Olginatese
(Home) 15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
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15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
14 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
03 Apr
Olginatese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
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Castellana
(Away) 10 May
Castellana
1 : 2 Villafranca
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0 Castellana
26 Apr
Castellana
1 : 1 Ciliverghe Mazzano
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Castellana
12 Apr
Castellana
0 : 2 FC Castiglione
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0 Castellana
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Castellana
02 Apr
Seregno Calcio
1 : 4 Castellana
25 Mar
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1 Castellana
08 Mar
Lecco
2 : 1 Castellana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Castiglione | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 74 |
| 2 | Lecco | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:42 | 66 |
| 3 | Seregno Calcio | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:37 | 65 |
| 4 | Ciserano | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 53:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:34 | 59 |
| 6 | Pergolettese | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 46:44 | 55 |
| 7 | Olginatese | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 44:34 | 54 |
| 8 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 50:42 | 52 |
| 9 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 37:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Sondrio | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | Aurora Seriate | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 12 | Inveruno | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 47:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Villafranca | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:49 | 47 |
| 14 | MapelloBonate | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 36:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Pro Sesto | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 37:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 36 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 18 | Castellana | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 36:61 | 30 |
| 19 | Montichiari | 36 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26:97 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)
