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Stadium Background

Olginatese vs Montichiari

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olginatese in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olginatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Olginatese
30%
Draws
8%
Montichiari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olginatese lately — more wins on the board than Montichiari.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Olginatese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 20%
Montichiari Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese Montichiari
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 27
Goals Scored 1.25 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Montichiari
4:0
Nov 23, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Montichiari vs Olginatese
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 85 / 100
Montichiari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese Montichiari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montichiari let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Olginatese scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Olginatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olginatese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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Montichiari

(Away)
10 May
Montichiari
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
03 May
MapelloBonate
4 : 1
Montichiari
26 Apr
Montichiari
0 : 1
Ciserano
19 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Montichiari
12 Apr
Montichiari
1 : 2
Villafranca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)