Sport Picks
Olginatese vs Ponte San Pietro Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 
Match Events
32'
32'
Caraffa D.
47'
47'
Pinto F.
70'
70'
Lomolino M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Olginatese and Ponte San Pietro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponte San Pietro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olginatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olginatese's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Ponte San Pietro have produced (0.75).
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Olginatese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olginatese | Ponte San Pietro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Ponte San Pietro
1:2
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Olginatese
1:1
Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Olginatese
2:3
Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Ponte San Pietro
3:4
Mar 26, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Olginatese
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olginatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Caraffa D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Ponte San Pietro Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinto F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lomolino M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olginatese 50 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olginatese Ponte San Pietro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Olginatese scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Ponte San Pietro conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.
Olginatese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ponte San Pietro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Olginatese
(Home) 15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3 Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1 AC Leon
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2 Sona
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2 Franciacorta
14 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 3 Ciserano-Bergamo
03 Apr
Olginatese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 3
Ponte San Pietro
(Away) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 7
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
24 Mar
Piacenza
4 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
17 Mar
Legnano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 81:39 | 82 |
| 2 | Legnano | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 49:44 | 66 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 70:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Brusaporto | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 62:49 | 64 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 57:46 | 63 |
| 6 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 65:49 | 63 |
| 7 | Breno | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56:43 | 58 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 66:56 | 58 |
| 9 | Arconatese | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 62:58 | 57 |
| 10 | Franciacorta | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 73:80 | 52 |
| 11 | Crema | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:52 | 46 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 50:55 | 46 |
| 13 | Sona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:56 | 45 |
| 14 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 54:56 | 44 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:39 | 44 |
| 16 | Villa Valle | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49:56 | 39 |
| 17 | Caravaggio | 38 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 41:62 | 37 |
| 18 | Vis Nova Giussano | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 56:77 | 35 |
| 19 | Olginatese | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:60 | 35 |
| 20 | AC Leon | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 50:88 | 33 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)
