Sport Picks

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Olginatese vs USD Casatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Caraffa D.
72' Event
Recino G.
85' Event
Citterio Mattia

AI Match Summary

Olginatese in this Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olginatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olginatese
30%
Draws
23%
USD Casatese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USD Casatese lately — more wins on the board than Olginatese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 68%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olginatese USD Casatese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs USD Casatese
2:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Olginatese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olginatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Caraffa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Citterio Mattia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

USD Casatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Recino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olginatese 41 / 100
USD Casatese 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olginatese USD Casatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olginatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Olginatese found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

USD Casatese let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Olginatese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS USD Casatese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Olginatese

(Home)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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USD Casatese

(Away)
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)