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Olimpia Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:20 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Olimpia Asuncion at 1.8 goals for, 1.27 against; 2 de Mayo at 1.14 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Olimpia Asuncion have won 1 to 2 de Mayo's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward Olimpia Asuncion. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Olimpia Asuncion
20%
Draws
23%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than 2 de Mayo.
  • Olimpia Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 20%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.8 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
4:1
Jan 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
3:3
Sep 7, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Olimpia Asuncion
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 85 / 100
2 de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Olimpia Asuncion's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

2 de Mayo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS 2 de Mayo
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Asuncion

(Home)
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
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2 de Mayo

(Away)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)