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Olimpia Asuncion vs Barracas Central

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Miloc D.
16'
Alfaro J. F.
44'
Silva A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Olimpia Asuncion
35%
Draws
12%
Barracas Central
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia Asuncion come out ahead of Barracas Central on wins alone.
  • Model gives Olimpia Asuncion a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Barracas Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion Barracas Central
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.82 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Barracas Central vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Olimpia Asuncion vs Barracas Central
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 95 / 100
Barracas Central 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion Barracas Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Asuncion went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Olimpia Asuncion found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Barracas Central let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS Barracas Central
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Asuncion

(Home)
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Guarani
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Barracas Central

(Away)
21 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
14 Sept
Banfield
1 : 1
Barracas Central
07 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0
Barracas Central
27 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 1
Barracas Central
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)