Sport Picks
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción 
Match Events
16'
16'
Gaona Lugo O.
Assist: Bailone I.
22'
22'
Alfaro J. F.
23'
23'
Espinola C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olimpia Asuncion have won more games recently than Nacional Asuncion.
- Model gives Olimpia Asuncion a 54% chance of winning this.
- Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 17%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Asuncion | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 28 |
| Wins | 22 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Jul 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandoval H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Gaona Lugo O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Asuncion 48 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Asuncion found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (36 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Olimpia Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Nacional Asuncion has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Asuncion VS Nacional Asuncion
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Asuncion
(Home) 01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 8
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
23 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
20 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 4 Vasco
Page 1 of 4
Nacional Asuncion
(Away) 30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
18 Aug
Benjamin Aceval
0 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
