Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Asuncion play Sp. Luqueno in the Copa de Primera. Olimpia Asuncion are favorites here. Recently, Olimpia Asuncion averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sp. Luqueno averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Olimpia Asuncion won 5, Sp. Luqueno won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.40 for Olimpia Asuncion and 1.07 for Sp. Luqueno. This points to a Olimpia Asuncion double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Olimpia Asuncion
6%
Draws
4%
Sp. Luqueno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimpia Asuncion has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sp. Luqueno.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Olimpia Asuncion.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa de Primera provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Asuncion Sp. Luqueno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Mar 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:4
Aug 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Asuncion 95 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Asuncion Sp. Luqueno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Asuncion scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Sp. Luqueno let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Olimpia Asuncion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sp. Luqueno lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Asuncion VS Sp. Luqueno
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115