Sport Picks
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa Paraguay Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb, Asunción 
Match Events
55'
55'
Ruiz O.
67'
67'
Gamarra M.
1'
1'
Avalos G.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Olimpia Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
- Olimpia Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Olimpia Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Olimpia Asuncion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 20%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Olimpia Asuncion | Sp. Luqueno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Sep 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
3:0
May 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
Mar 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Gamarra M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Sp. Luqueno Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Olimpia Asuncion 85 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Olimpia Asuncion Sp. Luqueno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Olimpia Asuncion scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.
Defensive concern: Sp. Luqueno conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Olimpia Asuncion remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Olimpia Asuncion VS Sp. Luqueno
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Olimpia Asuncion
(Home) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 8
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
23 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 4
Sp. Luqueno
(Away) 05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
