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Olimpia Elblag vs Gedania Gdansk

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Club Friendly 2025
Sun, Feb 9, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Elblag play Gedania Gdansk in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Olimpia Elblag averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Gedania Gdansk averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Olimpia Elblag won 2, Gedania Gdansk won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Olimpia Elblag and 1.25 for Gedania Gdansk. This points to a Olimpia Elblag double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Olimpia Elblag
22%
Draws
31%
Gedania Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag picked up more points recently compared to Gedania Gdansk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 19%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Gedania Gdansk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Gedania Gdansk
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Gedania Gdansk
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Gedania Gdansk
0:0
Feb 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Gedania Gdansk
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 46 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Gedania Gdansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olimpia Elblag or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olimpia Elblag attacking → ← attacking Gedania Gdansk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Gedania Gdansk let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Olimpia Elblag went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gedania Gdansk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 31
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00