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Olimpia Elblag vs Jagiellonia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Elblag host Jagiellonia II in the III Liga - Group I. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Olimpia Elblag have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Jagiellonia II's 2.13 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Olimpia Elblag have won 3 to Jagiellonia II's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.06) point toward Jagiellonia II. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Olimpia Elblag
15%
Draws
37%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag haven't matched Jagiellonia II's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.31 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elblag
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Jagiellonia II
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs Jagiellonia II
0:0
Mar 13, 2016 III Liga - Group V
Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elblag
1:2
Aug 16, 2015 III Liga - Group V
Olimpia Elblag vs Jagiellonia II
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 29 / 100
Jagiellonia II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Jagiellonia II let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Elblag stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Jagiellonia II
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
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Jagiellonia II

(Away)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Olimpia Zambrow 12 5 2 5 26:27 17
8 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
9 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
10 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
11 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
12 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
13 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 12 4 1 7 21:26 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)