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Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Olimpia Elblag and MKS Mlawa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia Elblag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Olimpia Elblag
15%
Draws
42%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag haven't matched MKS Mlawa's recent run of results.
  • Olimpia Elblag are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.29 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Olimpia Elblag
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa
6:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Olimpia Elblag vs MKS Mlawa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 38 / 100
MKS Mlawa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Elblag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Elblag's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

MKS Mlawa let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

MKS Mlawa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS MKS Mlawa
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
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MKS Mlawa

(Away)
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)