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Olimpia Elblag vs Zabkovia Zabki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski, Elblag
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Elblag host Zabkovia Zabki in the III Liga - Group I. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Zabkovia Zabki have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Olimpia Elblag have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Olimpia Elblag slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.69) back Olimpia Elblag to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Olimpia Elblag
35%
Draws
34%
Zabkovia Zabki
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia Elblag lately — more wins on the board than Zabkovia Zabki.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Olimpia Elblag here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 13%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Elblag Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Zabkovia Zabki
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Olimpia Elblag
2:3
May 20, 2012 Division 1
Olimpia Elblag vs Zabkovia Zabki
4:1
Oct 22, 2011 Division 1
Zabkovia Zabki vs Olimpia Elblag
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Elblag 31 / 100
Zabkovia Zabki 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Elblag Zabkovia Zabki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabkovia Zabki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Olimpia Elblag scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Zabkovia Zabki has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Olimpia Elblag stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Elblag VS Zabkovia Zabki
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Elblag

(Home)
31 Oct
Troszyn
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 0
Jagiellonia II
17 Oct
LKS Lodz II
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
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Zabkovia Zabki

(Away)
31 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 0
Swit Mazowiecki
24 Oct
Plock II
2 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
18 Oct
Troszyn
1 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
14 Oct
LKS Lodz II
0 : 3
Zabkovia Zabki
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
4 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
5 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
6 Warta Sieradz 15 7 4 4 25:22 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 15 5 2 8 25:30 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)