Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Ole Brasil

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olimpia FC play Ole Brasil in the Paulista A4 2011. Ole Brasil are favorites here. Recently, Olimpia FC averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Ole Brasil averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Olimpia FC won 2, Ole Brasil won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2015 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Olimpia FC and 1.19 for Ole Brasil. This points to a Ole Brasil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Olimpia FC

15%

Draws

62%

Ole Brasil

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ole Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Olimpia FC picked up more points recently compared to Ole Brasil.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 20%

Ole Brasil Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Olimpia FC	Ole Brasil
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	3	13
Draws	8	5
Losses	22	12
Goals Scored	0.7	1.53
Goals Conceded	1.82	1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2015 Paulista A4

Ole Brasil vs Olimpia FC

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

3:2

Apr 26, 2015 Paulista A4

Olimpia FC vs Ole Brasil

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Jun 26, 2011 Paulista A4

Olimpia FC vs Ole Brasil

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

May 7, 2011 Paulista A4

Ole Brasil vs Olimpia FC

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia FC 25 / 100

Ole Brasil 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Olimpia FC Ole Brasil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ole Brasil Win (2)

Secondary Pick Ole Brasil & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Olimpia FC attacking → ← attacking Ole Brasil

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia FC scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Ole Brasil let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Olimpia FC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ole Brasil lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 44

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Votuporanguense	12	5	5	2	17:14	20
2	Bandeirante	12	5	5	2	18:11	20
3	Fernandopolis	12	5	4	3	14:7	19
4	Tupa	12	4	5	3	12:13	17
5	Jose Bonifacio EC	12	3	5	4	13:12	14
6	Tanabi	12	2	5	5	8:13	11
7	Assisense	12	3	1	8	9:21	10

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barretos EC	12	7	5	0	25:12	26
2	Guariba	12	6	4	2	23:11	22
3	Ole Brasil	12	7	0	5	20:17	21
4	Olimpia FC	12	5	3	4	19:12	18
5	Jaboticabal Atletico	12	5	3	4	26:22	18
6	Americo EC	12	2	1	9	21:31	7
7	Matonense	12	1	2	9	7:36	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente SP	10	8	2	0	17:3	26
2	Palmeirinha SP	10	5	4	1	17:6	19
3	Guacuano	10	5	3	2	11:7	18
4	Brasilis	10	4	2	4	16:12	14
5	Sao Judas Tadeu	10	1	1	8	9:18	4
6	Lencoense	10	1	0	9	9:33	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desportivo	14	9	1	4	26:16	28
2	Sumare	14	7	4	3	18:13	25
3	Cotia	14	6	5	3	27:23	23
4	Capivariano	14	5	6	3	30:20	21
5	Primavera EC	14	5	5	4	17:15	20
6	SKA Brasil	14	5	3	6	18:18	18
7	Lemense	14	4	2	8	16:30	14
8	Elosport	14	1	2	11	12:29	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guarulhos	14	10	0	4	27:16	30
2	Jacarei (Inactive)	14	8	3	3	21:13	27
3	FC Primeira Camisa	14	6	6	2	25:13	24
4	ECUS SP	14	6	2	6	12:15	20
5	Uniao Suzano	14	5	4	5	21:18	19
6	Jacarei FC	14	5	3	6	14:18	18
7	Manthiqueira	14	2	4	8	10:22	10
8	Uniao Mogi	14	2	2	10	13:28	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa Santista	14	10	1	3	21:7	31
2	Sao Vicente	14	9	2	3	29:19	29
3	EC Sao Bernardo	14	8	2	4	26:14	26
4	Guaruja	14	7	2	5	19:16	23
5	Mauaense	14	6	4	4	27:17	22
6	Jabaquara	14	7	0	7	21:24	21
7	Nacional SP	14	1	2	11	16:32	5
8	Palestra	14	1	1	12	8:38	4