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Olimpia FC vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2020
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 2020 game between Olimpia FC and Primavera EC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Olimpia FC
15%
Draws
85%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primavera EC come out ahead of Olimpia FC on wins alone.
  • Primavera EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 17%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia FC Primavera EC
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2021 Paulista A3
Primavera EC vs Olimpia FC
1:1
Mar 1, 2020 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Primavera EC
2:2
Feb 2, 2019 Paulista A3
Primavera EC vs Olimpia FC
4:0
Feb 25, 2016 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Primavera EC
1:1
Oct 12, 2014 Paulista A4
Olimpia FC vs Primavera EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia FC 10 / 100
Primavera EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia FC Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Primavera EC conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Olimpia FC's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Primavera EC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Primavera EC
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia FC

(Home)
21 Jun
Tanabi
5 : 0
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Olimpia FC
1 : 4
Tupa
08 Jun
Santacruzense
4 : 1
Olimpia FC
25 May
Olimpia FC
1 : 2
Assisense
18 May
Olimpia FC
0 : 3
Tanabi
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Primavera EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 15 11 2 2 25:9 35
2 EC Sao Bernardo 15 9 3 3 22:9 30
3 Comercial 15 8 4 3 25:16 28
4 Capivariano 15 7 4 4 21:15 25
5 Velo Clube 15 7 4 4 18:12 25
6 Linense 15 6 5 4 21:19 23
7 Batatais 15 5 7 3 13:14 22
8 Nacional SP 15 5 6 4 17:16 21
9 Desportivo 15 5 3 7 20:20 18
10 Marilia 15 4 6 5 16:15 18
11 Rio Preto EC 15 4 4 7 15:19 16
12 Olimpia FC 15 4 4 7 17:23 16
13 Primavera EC 15 4 3 8 13:20 15
14 Barretos EC 15 3 4 8 15:26 13
15 GE Osasco 15 3 3 9 12:23 12
16 Paulista 15 3 2 10 12:26 11
Promotion - Paulista A3 2020 (Play Offs)