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Olimpia vs Cartagines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Cartagines have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Olimpia have conceded 0.93 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Olimpia slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2025, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.31) point toward Olimpia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Olimpia
15%
Draws
36%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagines haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olimpia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Olimpia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 18%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Cartagines
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 21 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Olimpia vs Cartagines
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Olimpia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 85 / 100
Cartagines 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olimpia scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Cartagines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Olimpia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Cartagines
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
16 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 1
Real Espana
10 Oct
Genesis FC
0 : 1
Olimpia
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
18 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Saprissa
14 Oct
Cartagines
3 : 1
Puntarenas FC
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Olimpia 6
Luis Angel Firpo 0
Cartagines 5
Saprissa 4
Alajuelense 5
Marathon 3
Alianza FC 0
Motagua 3
Semi-finals
Olimpia -
Cartagines -
Alajuelense -
Motagua -
Final
TBD -
TBD -