Sport Picks

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Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Olimpia Logo

Olimpia

0 - 0
FT
Lobos UPNFM Logo

Lobos UPNFM

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Flores D.
24'
Martinez J.
38'
Sub
Rodas Andrino G. J. In: Banzzety J.
Out: Rodas Andrino G. J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Olimpia
15%
Draws
32%
Lobos UPNFM
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpia have won more games recently than Lobos UPNFM.
  • Olimpia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Olimpia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Lobos UPNFM
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 22 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0
Apr 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olimpia
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olimpia
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 95 / 100
Lobos UPNFM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Lobos UPNFM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Lobos UPNFM let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Olimpia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Lobos UPNFM
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
04 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 1
Platense
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
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Lobos UPNFM

(Away)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Motagua
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)