Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olimpia vs Olancho

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Olimpia Logo

Olimpia

0 - 0
FT
Olancho Logo

Olancho

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Sanchez C.
47'
Perea G.
59'
Sub
Mejia Y. In: Ramirez Arauz M. R.
Out: Mejia Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Olimpia and Olancho finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Olimpia
20%
Draws
28%
Olancho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia come out ahead of Olancho on wins alone.
  • Olimpia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 68%
Olancho Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Olancho
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Olancho
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
2:2
Sep 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Olancho
2:2
Apr 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Olimpia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 86 / 100
Olancho 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Olancho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Olimpia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Olimpia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Olancho conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Olancho
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
09 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 3
Olimpia
06 Aug
UMECIT
1 : 2
Olimpia
03 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Jul
Olimpia
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
24 Jul
Olimpia
1 : 0
Motagua
Page 1 of 6

Olancho

(Away)
08 Aug
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 1
Olancho
02 Aug
Estrella
0 : 1
Olancho
15 May
Genesis FC
1 : 1
Olancho
13 May
Olancho
0 : 2
Motagua
10 May
Motagua
1 : 2
Olancho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)