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Olimpia vs Saprissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa
Olimpia Logo

Olimpia

2 - 1
FT
Saprissa Logo

Saprissa

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hernandez E.
Assist: Garcia R.
23'
Cuello E.
33'
Acuna S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Olimpia
15%
Draws
31%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Saprissa haven't matched Olimpia's recent run of results.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Olimpia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 20%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Saprissa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Olimpia vs Saprissa
2:1
Nov 1, 2019 CONCACAF League
Saprissa vs Olimpia
4:1
Oct 25, 2019 CONCACAF League
Olimpia vs Saprissa
2:0
Mar 4, 2011 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Olimpia vs Saprissa
1:2
Feb 25, 2011 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Saprissa vs Olimpia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benguche J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia 31 / 100
Saprissa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Saprissa has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Olimpia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia VS Saprissa
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia

(Home)
22 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Olimpia
16 Oct
Olimpia
2 : 1
Real Espana
10 Oct
Genesis FC
0 : 1
Olimpia
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
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Saprissa

(Away)
22 Oct
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Saprissa
18 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Saprissa
16 Oct
Saprissa
6 : 0
Sporting FC
11 Oct
Escorpiones
1 : 0
Saprissa
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)