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Olimpia Zambrow vs MKS Mlawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow host MKS Mlawa in the III Liga - Group I. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Olimpia Zambrow have averaged 1.64 scored and 2.36 conceded recently, against MKS Mlawa's 2.12 scored and 1.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Olimpia Zambrow slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2024, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 2.50, favoring MKS Mlawa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Olimpia Zambrow
20%
Draws
44%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than Olimpia Zambrow.
  • Model gives Olimpia Zambrow a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olimpia Zambrow MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.64 2.12
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Olimpia Zambrow
0:1
Aug 27, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs MKS Mlawa
1:1
May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Olimpia Zambrow
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs MKS Mlawa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olimpia Zambrow 38 / 100
MKS Mlawa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olimpia Zambrow MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Zambrow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Zambrow scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

MKS Mlawa has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Olimpia Zambrow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olimpia Zambrow VS MKS Mlawa
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Olimpia Zambrow

(Home)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
05 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Olimpia Zambrow
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MKS Mlawa

(Away)
10 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)